Quitting Certainties: A Bayesian Framework Modeling Degrees of BeliefMichael G. Titelbaum presents a new Bayesian framework for modeling rational degrees of belief, called the Certainty Loss Framework. Subjective Bayesianism is epistemologists' standard theory of how individuals should change their degrees of belief over time. But despite the theory's power, it is widely recognized to fail for situations agents face every day cases in which agents forget information, or in which they assign degrees of belief to self